Researchers Develop a New Tool to Predict the Global Spread of Human Infectious Diseases: Dengue
CSIRO, Researchers at Australia’s national science agency, QUT, and Queensland Health have developed a brand new device to predict the worldwide unfold of human infectious ailments, like dengue, and observe them to their supply. The software attracts on journey knowledge from the International Air Transportation Association and dengue incidence charges from the Global Health Data Exchange to derive new insights concerning the spreading dynamics of dengue, a mosquito-borne illness.
Dr. Jess Liebig, a postdoctoral fellow at CSIRO’s information science arm Data61, stated worldwide journey considerably contributes to the rapid unfold of dengue from endemic to non-endemic countries. In non-endemic nations such as Australia, local outbreaks are triggered by people who acquire the disease abroad and transmit the virus to local mosquitoes.
Professor Raja Jurdak, QUT, stated that in lots of places, infected people should not be diagnosed, and dengue might be beneath-reported to health authorities, making it difficult to observe risk and prevent the spread of infection.
The device identifies the journey route from Puerto Rico to Florida as having the very best predicted quantity of dengue-infected passengers traveling to a non-endemic region.
The tool might be utilized for other vector-borne diseases of world concern such as malaria, Zika, and chikungunya. It expands on earlier work, which modeled how dengue infections from overseas may spread in Australia.
The research is a part of the Disease Networks and Mobility (DiNeMo) project aimed toward developing an actual real-time alert and surveillance system for human infectious diseases. An earlier model was developed to predict the spread of dengue inside Australia.